Scott Adams has a post up on the possible reasons for the attack on Libya. He reckons that:
“[T]he military action in Libya is the first phase of war with Iran. It sends a signal to the young people in Iran that if they organize a popular uprising against their own regime, they will get military support of the same sort they are seeing in Libya.”
One possible flaw in this idea is that the Iranian youth did that two years ago. And we didn’t intervene. And lots of people thought it was the right decision.
Good news. I love successful covert operations.
UPDATE: For some reason, this reminded me: I remember I once heard somebody say that the “Spy” fiction genre just wasn’t the same after the Soviet Union collapsed, because real-world covert operations stuff was no longer as important.
I’ve always assumed that it was because our spies and secret agents can work better when no one’s writing movies or books about them.
Anyway, it’s good to hear about things like this.
The Iraqis are responding to Iran seizing an oil field.
The article says the two countries are “uneasy allies”, but notes the eight-year war they fought in the 1980’s. On the other hand, both have “Shiite-led governments.” I wonder which factor more heavily influences the people of the two countries.
A spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry accused foreign media of trying to “disrupt good relations between Tehran and Baghdad.” This might make sense, except that the Iraqis are the ones complaining about the incursion. Generally, seizing other peoples’ stuff tends to disrupt good relations as well.